Jobes Knows: Examining Jets and Giants, plus a Thursday pick


For The Recorder

My record stands at .500 after a tough Week 11. I'm hoping to get back on track in Week 12.

The Jets sit at 5-5 and became the first team in NFL history to alternate wins and losses through the first 10 weeks of a season. Their game against the Bills on Sunday was painful to watch. Rookie quarterback Geno Smith was awful, completing just eight of 8-of-23 attempts with no touchdowns and three interceptions. He also lost a fumble. He now has 20 turnovers on the season (16 interceptions, four lost fumbles). He has very few weapons to work with on the Jets offense, but there are no excuses for some of the bad decisions and bad throws he makes. Ideally he'll learn from his mistakes going forward, we shall see. Whether they deserve it or not, the Jets still remain in the thick of the AFC playoff chase. I'll continue to hope for the best and expect the worst. The life of a tortured Jets fan.

After dropping their first six games, the Giants won their fourth in a row last weekend and look to make it five straight at home against the Cowboys on Sunday. The Giants are looking to be the first team in NFL history to start a season 0-6 and make the playoffs. It appears the Giants' only shot at a playoff berth is to win the NFC East so this is a must win for them since the Cowboys took the first meeting between these teams this season. Asked about this game Giants' defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul said. "It's going to be a fight. It's going to be a dogfight. There's going to be a lot of blood spilled out there."

Needless to say, there's no love lost between the Giants and Cowboys and this should be a fun game to watch.

I'll be back on Saturday with a lock in the Giants-Cowboys game along with the rest of the games.

Record against the spread:

Week 11: 5-8-2

Season total: 77-77-7

New Orleans (-9 1/2) at Atlanta

The 8-2 Saints visit the 2-8 Falcons on Thursday night in their second meeting of the season. The Saints beat the Falcons in New Orleans in Week 1, 23-17.

It's hard to believe the Falcons were 13-3 last season and came within just a game of going to the Super Bowl. They've lost their last four games and were outscored 135-61 in those four games. They're allowing an average of 29 points a game this season. The Saints on the other hand are ranked second in total offense and fourth in total defense. They're averaging 29 points a game and allowing an average of 18 a game.

The Saints have just a one game lead on Carolina in the NFC South so I don't think they'll take their division rival Falcons lightly here. Although they only beat the Falcons by six at home the first time they played, I believe the Saints are much improved since opening week while the Falcons are much diminished due to injuries. The safe play here is the Saints. I'll take the Saints minus the points. New Orleans 34, Atlanta 20.