By MICHAEL KELLY
For the Recorder
In my estimation, there is an above-average chance that the Amsterdam Running Rams are going to like what they see today from the seeding committee when the Section II Class A playoffs bracket is released.
Given the Rams' strength of schedule and quality win at Class AA's Bishop Maginn this season -- likely the best win, competition-wise, this season by a team in the Class A field -- Rams should be no worse than No. 8 seed in the bracket, and possibly as high as No. 6 with a break here or there from the seeding committee. While a No. 8 seed could mean a second-round matchup with undefeated Scotia-Glenville, the Rams might be able to maneuver their way to the No. 6 or 7 spot, allowing the team to avoid the undefeated Tartans until the championship game.
After looking at the resumes of the 11 teams in the Class A field, S-G is clearly the No. 1 seed its undefeated record. After the Tartans, there are four teams -- Averill Park, Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake, Glens Falls and Lansingburgh -- who should be seeded above the Rams.
Then, it gets interesting.
Without any question, the Rams will be seeded above Notre Dame-Bishop Gibbons. So, what the Rams' eventual seed will come down to is how the committee looks at the likes of Gloversville, Mohonasen, South Glens Falls and Queensbury. Of those four teams, three are Foothills Council teams with more overall wins than Amsterdam, but whose resumes show zero-to-few "quality wins" when looked at through Class A-minded eyes.
Gloversville is the easiest club to move the Rams past in the bracket, despite the Dragons' overall win total of seven nearly doubling that of the Rams. The boys from Gloversville own zero victories against Class AA or Class A opponents; instead, the Dragons' wins come from sweeping the Class B schools of the Foothills and taking a game from Class B's Fonda-Fultonville.
Next up, South Glens Falls. The Bulldogs have four Class A wins and even a victory against a Class AA squad, but I still prefer what Amsterdam's accomplished this season. Amsterdam's Class AA win is one of better quality -- SGF beat Ballston Spa -- and the Rams were perfect in their Class A games this year, winning both.
For all the same reasons as above, I prefer the Rams to Queensbury. The Spartans' resume is virtually identical to SGF's, filled with wins against Class B teams and missed chances against the many Class A squads they face.
The interesting squad to look at is Mohonasen, a squad with the same number of wins (four) as the Rams and the same problem as AHS in that the Mighty Warriors play in a predominantly Class AA league. Mohonasen was destined for the No. 10 seed in this bracket, but the team's Monday-night win against Averill Park could bolster its case to be a step or two higher.
Looking at all these teams, my guess is that Amsterdam will end up being seeded above -- at least -- Gloversville, ND-BG and Mohonasen, giving the Rams no worse than the No. 8 seed. If the committee gives real weight to strength of schedule, it seems likely that Amsterdam could move past
Of course, more-in-the-loop minds might have a better idea than me how today's seeding meeting will go: S-G head coach James Giammattei, perhaps looking ahead to a second-round meeting with the Rams, has been at two of Amsterdam's last four games.